September 18, 2006

Tradesports update

GOP control contracts trading at:

Senate $80.3
House $52

Key Senate races Republican wins

NJ $56.2 (Republican pickup)
CT $70 (Leiberman win---Hey, you guys don't want him....)

VA $63 (Republican hold) (Big drop in past 24 hrs though)
TN $60 (Republican hold)

MO $51 (Toss-up)

RI $25 (Republican loss)
OH $25 (Republican loss)
PA $22 (Republican loss)
MT $20 (Republican loss)

NET CHANGE IN SENATE---Dem +3, assuming Leiberman wins and continues to caucus with the Democrats

Posted by Steve-O at September 18, 2006 09:36 PM | TrackBack

that House 52 bid (forget the vigorish)makes it look like the market to D's is cheap--not more than a coin toss. Maybe buy the 52's and sell the 80's 2.5:1--and delta hedge in 2-3 weeks.

Posted by: Dan Orlow at September 18, 2006 11:10 PM

Geez louise, Danno, it's like you are some type of hedge fund dude or something. Oh right.....

Posted by: Steve the LLamabutcher at September 19, 2006 06:37 AM

Never take advice from a guy that rides on top of the stationwagon.

Posted by: LB Buddy at September 19, 2006 10:18 AM