November 07, 2006
Update and perspective
What's the perspective on Year Six elections?
CLINTON 98 Senate: Even House: Dems +8
Okay, 98 was the exception in the way that 02 was the exception for midterms in the first term. But how will tonight compare to the sixth year election of the previous 20th century re-elected presidents? I'm going to through 68 and 74 in the mix to get the big picture:
YR DUDE SENATE HOUSE86 REAGAN +5 Dems +8 Dems
74 NIXON/FORD +3 Dems +49 Dems
66 JFK/LBJ +3 Reps +47 Reps
58 IKE +13 Dems +49 Dems
50 TRUMAN +5 Reps +28 Reps
38 FDR +6 Reps +81 Reps
26 HARD/COOL +6 Dems +11 Dems
18 WILSON +5 Reps +22 Reps
Leaving the average as a five seat pick-up in the Senate and a House pick-up of 33.
Oddly enough, it's looking that the election this might mirror most directly is 1950....
Posted by Steve-O at November 7, 2006 06:32 PM | TrackBack