September 28, 2006

The Webb-Allen Matchup

Has o-fficially jumped the shark.

My guess is that the shriller the rhetoric gets, the more average voters are going to simply tune it out.

YIPS from Steve-O: Hey, if you try to Furmanize your opponent, you've got to make sure you've got no Furman in you, capiche? Now, I enjoy watching a good knife fight as much as the next guy, but I'm going to particularly enjoy the local fallout.

Anyhoo, here's why the NIE was partially leaked and why Bubba went on the offensive this week:

tradesports house gop control 9 28.jpg
The Tradesports contract for the GOP retaining control of the House is trading today at $56, up from $40 right after the Katrina anniversary (and, if memory serves, Robbo called the bottom of the market). The GOP has had going on four solid weeks.

The Senate tells a different story, mainly that the quest for six seats to switch isn't going to well:

tradesports gop senate 9 28.jpg

Here's your shot of Joementum--the contract for the "field" (ie neither the Democratic or Republican nominee) winning the CT race:

joementum 9 28.jpg
$72.2 is good and comfortable, but he needs to get above $80 to skate it on in.

Here's the week past in the Allen-Webb race, showing the contract for Allen winning:
allen rebound.jpg

Notice the early mid-week when the Furman card was played, and today when it rebounded back with the realization of Webb's "artistic license."

Sum total: The LLamabutchers Tradesports Senate Index (TM) is at a +3 pickup in the Senate for the Donks (PA, RI, OH, MT), Liebs (I) winning in CT, with VA, TN, NJ, and MD staying with the incumbents.

(And yes, that's +3 because Rape Gurney Joe aint a Democrat no more, right?)

Posted by Robert at September 28, 2006 12:30 PM | TrackBack

Rape Gurney Joe aint a Democrat no more, right


Democrats in favor (12) - Carper (Del.), Johnson (S.D.), Landrieu (La.), Lautenberg (N.J.), Lieberman (Conn.), Menendez (N.J), Nelson (Fla.), Nelson (Neb.), Pryor (Ark.), Rockefeller (W. Va.), Salazar (Co.), Stabenow (Mich.).

Posted by: LB buddy at September 29, 2006 08:09 AM