September 03, 2004

Great, Kid. But Don't Get Cocky - Watch

Bush is now up 52/41 in the latest Time poll.

That's great. But remember, it's sixty or so days until the election. I think Bush's lead probably will increase some in the next week or so, given his strong convention and Kerry's self-inflicted wounds, but sooner or later someone in the Kerry camp is going to knock some heads together and get their man back in the game. The press will naturally fall in behind this, in part because they want Kerry to win and in part because they love an underdog.

I still think Dubya's going to win. In fact, I still think it's not going to be that close. But to quote Princess Leia, "It's not over yet."

Posted by Robert at September 3, 2004 05:22 PM | TrackBack

No, it's not time to break out the inauguration invites just yet, but OTOH, it does put lie to "There is no bounce."

Posted by: Brian B at September 3, 2004 05:26 PM

Daily Kos assures us it's a 'soft bounce', which sounds more like a reference to Paris Hilton

Posted by: jeff at September 4, 2004 11:54 PM

No, it won't be close, for two reasons: many millions of voters, "undecided" or not, will in reality make up their minds in the last three days of the campaign, and they will do so as regards a simple Yea/Nay question: Is this nation at war with radical islam?

So long as Kerry's answer is maybe / ahem / in-a-sense-yes-but-thenagain / ask maria theresa, she started about the 7 yrs' war, this joker's finished. We Americans may vote for Bush, but that doesn't mean we're stupid. Get real.

Oh, and also because our intrepid national press corps has for many months been assuring us that the election will not be close. They've been perfectly wrong on Davis and Kerry and then Dean and now on Kerry again.

Posted by: lex at September 7, 2004 09:45 PM
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